Trade of the Decade Update,First Place and Good Times

Earlier this week I released my video presentation on the State of Banking: Trade of the Decade update. It is on my YouTube channel if you want to check it out but I also want to rehash it in print today. When we hear people talk about bank stocks 99% of the time it has little or nothing to do with our community banks. Most of the problems and issues facing the big banks do not affect community banks at all. Community banks don’t need to worry about lower trading revenues and most of them have little to no exposure to energy loans and troubled emerging market governments. The little banks are less liquid and garner for a less attention from Wall Street and the media. The fact of the matter is that the State of the Community Banks is pretty damn good.

Balance sheets have been rebuilt since the credit crisis and equity levels are well above pre crisis levels .In fact they are at a 70 year high as of year-end 2015. They are so high some worry that carrying excess capital is actually hurting operating performance. Loan to deposit ratios are fairly low so there is room for banks to grow their loan portfolio if we start to see stronger economic conditions. The smaller banks are hiking dividends and buying back stock at bargain valuations, all of which is good for shareholders.

Credit conditions are outstanding. We have now had more than 20 quarter of improved credit conditions and I think that for community banks that streak will continue with the first quarter 2016 reports we are starting to see. Banks have gotten a lot better at underwriting and the regulatory environment has discouraged some of the riskier lending practice we have seen in the past. Some ...

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Activists, Baseball and Merle

I was taken to task recently by a reader and subscriber over my constant use of the Stern Agee study on activists and community bank stocks. I use it all the time most recently in a Real Money article on ...

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Junkies, Economists and Teddy Bears

Another week, another rise for the stock market. The big news this week is the Janet Yellen Speech. The Nationals- Cardinals game I planned to watch at that time was rained out so I went with the traditional fed speak ...

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Fevers, Politics and Gypsies

This weeks epistle shall be a little shorter than normal as I have spent a big part of the week recovering from what I assume was a reaction to a combination whooping cough/Tetanus vaccination booster my Doc insisted I needed. ...

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Lower Longer, Yapping Poodles and the Private Equity Mindset

The big news of the day is that Mario Draghi threw everything plus the kitchen sink at the European economy today. Markets started to rally but faded off when he had the effrontery to suggest that the may not lower ...

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Office Supplies, Flippers and The Future

I have been quite the slacker this week. Tuesday I didn’t get a video out because I was happily eating things not on my diet while watching the Orioles play the Braves. I am getting this note out a little ...

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Quick Change, Low Returns and the Story of Your Life

Boy things change quickly on Wall street, A week ago Barrons ran a piece that said “The comforting story that U.S. investors have been telling themselves—that weakness only exists overseas—is beginning to look like a mirage.” This morning’s opening piece ...

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Champagne, Private Equity and Baseball

The markets continue to get hammered and there is a distinct odor of fear hanging over the markets. We are trying to back bounce this afternoon as investors rush to buy tech as it looked “cheap” to them. I have ...

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Bankers, Attila and the Cubs

I just came back from the Bank Director Acquire or be Acquired Conference in Phoenix with three things The first is a nasty cold, obtained no doubt on those germ soaked, bacteria clouds we call modern day passenger aircraft (many ...

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Bankers, Attila and the Cubs

I just came back from the Bank Director Acquire or be Acquired Conference in Phoenix with three things The first is a nasty cold, obtained no doubt on those germ soaked, bacteria clouds we call modern day passenger aircraft (many ...

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Good Times, 20 days and Lady Luck

The earnings for our small banks stock are starting to come in this week and the most used phrase I am seeing is “record earnings.” Several of our stock are hitting new high prices as the positive earnings, dividend and ...

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Going Outside, Davos and Mungeresque Extraordinary Opportunities

I keep CNBC on in the office during the day. I don’t find any particularly intriguing insights but it is fun to listen to and I feel guilty if I just have MLB TV on all day while I am ...

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